GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/19/2025, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Venados FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

56.9%

Model confidence

56.9%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCDWWWW

GF 9 · GA 0 · avg 1.80/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Venados FCWWWLD

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCVenados FC
48.4Attack66.7
78.6Defence33.3
63.5Form58.3
63.9Power53.2
1.81xG0.82
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