GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/17/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Venados FC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

56.9%

Model confidence

56.9%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCWDDDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Venados FCDDDLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCVenados FC
48.4Attack66.7
78.6Defence33.3
63.5Form58.3
63.9Power53.2
1.81xG0.82
View match centre →