GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/22/2023, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Venados FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

56.9%

Model confidence

56.9%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCLLWDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Venados FCWLWWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atlante FCVenados FC
48.4Attack66.7
78.6Defence33.3
63.5Form58.3
63.9Power53.2
1.81xG0.82
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