Atlante FCvs
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 10/17/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
U.N.A.M. - Pumas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlante FC 1-2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Original prediction
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 36.1% | 35.3% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 27.2% | 24.3% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 36.7% | 40.4% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20