GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/5/2025, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 45.6-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

69.3%

Model confidence

69.3%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
TlaxcalaDWWWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atlante FCTlaxcala
48.4Attack33.3
78.6Defence0.0
63.5Form0.0
63.9Power18.3
2.11xG0.59
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