GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/22/2025, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 45.6-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

69.3%

Model confidence

69.3%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCLWDWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
TlaxcalaDLDDD

GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Atlante FCTlaxcala
48.4Attack33.3
78.6Defence0.0
63.5Form0.0
63.9Power18.3
2.11xG0.59
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