GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/6/2024, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 45.6-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

69.3%

Model confidence

69.3%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCLWDLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TlaxcalaDWLLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCTlaxcala
48.4Attack33.3
78.6Defence0.0
63.5Form0.0
63.9Power18.3
2.11xG0.59
View match centre →