GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/15/2025, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 51.0-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

73.2%

Model confidence

73.2%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCLWDWW

GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TepatitlánWLDLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atlante FCTepatitlán
48.4Attack8.3
78.6Defence16.7
63.5Form0.0
63.9Power13.0
2.24xG0.53
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