GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/3/2025, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 51.0-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

73.2%

Model confidence

73.2%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCLDDDL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TepatitlánLWWWL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Atlante FCTepatitlán
48.4Attack8.3
78.6Defence16.7
63.5Form0.0
63.9Power13.0
2.24xG0.53
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