GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/8/2025, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 51.0-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

73.2%

Model confidence

73.2%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
TepatitlánWDDDL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atlante FCTepatitlán
48.4Attack8.3
78.6Defence16.7
63.5Form0.0
63.9Power13.0
2.24xG0.53
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