GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/6/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WWWD), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 51.0-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

73.2%

Model confidence

73.2%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCWWWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/0.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
TepatitlánDLLLL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCTepatitlán
48.4Attack8.3
78.6Defence16.7
63.5Form0.0
63.9Power13.0
2.24xG0.53
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