GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/5/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tapatío are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

50.8%

Model confidence

50.8%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCWDWLW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
TapatíoDWWLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCTapatío
48.4Attack50.0
78.6Defence58.3
63.5Form58.3
63.9Power58.8
1.47xG0.73
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