Atlante FCvs
Tapatío
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/30/2023, 11:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Atlante FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Tapatío are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlante FC
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80