Atlante FCvs
Monterrey
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monterrey · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlante FC 4-2 Monterrey
Original prediction
Monterrey
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 06:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.23 | 28.8% | 23.1% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 26.4% | 25.1% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.08 | 44.8% | 51.8% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Monterrey
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Monterrey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40