GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Monarcas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCDWWDL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MonarcasWWWDL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atlante FCMonarcas
48.4Attack88.9
78.6Defence55.6
63.5Form66.7
63.9Power69.4
1.48xG0.90
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