GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/11/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Monarcas are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCDDDWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MonarcasLDDLL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCMonarcas
48.4Attack88.9
78.6Defence55.6
63.5Form66.7
63.9Power69.4
1.48xG0.90
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