GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCLWDWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Mineros de ZacatecasWWWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCMineros de Zacatecas
48.4Attack100.0
78.6Defence41.7
63.5Form66.7
63.9Power68.8
1.64xG0.94
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