GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/20/2024, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCWWLWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Mineros de ZacatecasDWDLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCMineros de Zacatecas
48.4Attack100.0
78.6Defence41.7
63.5Form66.7
63.9Power68.8
1.64xG0.94
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