Atlante FCvs
Leones Negros UDG
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/21/2025, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Atlante FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 63.9 against 63.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlante FC
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60