GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 5/9/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 63.9 against 63.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

50.8%

Model confidence

50.8%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Leones Negros UDGWDWDW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCLeones Negros UDG
48.4Attack77.8
78.6Defence44.4
63.5Form66.7
63.9Power63.5
1.60xG0.87
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