GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 7/25/2023, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 63.9 against 63.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

50.8%

Model confidence

50.8%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Leones Negros UDGWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Atlante FCLeones Negros UDG
48.4Attack77.8
78.6Defence44.4
63.5Form66.7
63.9Power63.5
1.60xG0.87
View match centre →