Atlante FCvs
Leon
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leon · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlante FC 1-1 Leon
Original prediction
Leon
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 37.9% | 32.4% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.5% | 27.5% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 34.5% | 40.1% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Leon
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Leon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Atlante FCLDLLW
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
LeonWWWWW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Atlante FCLeon
33.3Attack46.7
53.3Defence66.7
33.3Form60.0
43.0Power59.9
1.03xG1.32