GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/24/2025, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Irapuato are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCLDLDD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
IrapuatoWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Atlante FCIrapuato
48.4Attack52.9
78.6Defence52.9
63.5Form47.1
63.9Power51.0
1.53xG0.76
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