GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Dorados are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCDWDWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
DoradosDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCDorados
48.4Attack66.7
78.6Defence66.7
63.5Form66.7
63.9Power68.0
1.43xG0.80
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