GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/14/2024, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Dorados are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCLWDWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DoradosWDDLL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCDorados
48.4Attack66.7
78.6Defence66.7
63.5Form66.7
63.9Power68.0
1.43xG0.80
View match centre →