GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/1/2023, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Dorados are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCDWDDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DoradosLWWLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCDorados
48.4Attack66.7
78.6Defence66.7
63.5Form66.7
63.9Power68.0
1.43xG0.80
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