GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/18/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cimarrones are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

53.3%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCDLLLD

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CimarronesLLDDD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCCimarrones
48.4Attack53.8
78.6Defence50.5
63.5Form46.2
63.9Power51.4
1.61xG0.78
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