GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/18/2023, 11:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cimarrones are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

53.3%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCLWLWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CimarronesWWDLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCCimarrones
48.4Attack53.8
78.6Defence50.5
63.5Form46.2
63.9Power51.4
1.61xG0.78
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