Atlante FCvs
CF Pachuca
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 9/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CF Pachuca · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlante FC 0-3 CF Pachuca
Original prediction
CF Pachuca
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.94 | 31.6% | 31.6% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.7% | 27.7% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 40.8% | 40.6% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
CF Pachuca
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
CF Pachuca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00