Atlante FCvs
Celaya
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/12/2025, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Atlante FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Celaya are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlante FC
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40