GGOALVIO

Atlante FC logoAtlante FCvsCelaya logoCelaya

COMPLETED

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/17/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Celaya are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCDWLWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CelayaDWWDD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCCelaya
48.4Attack44.4
78.6Defence62.2
63.5Form46.7
63.9Power52.8
1.23xG0.64
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