GGOALVIO

Atlante FC logoAtlante FCvsCelaya logoCelaya

COMPLETED

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/14/2024, 10:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Celaya are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCLDWWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CelayaDWWWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCCelaya
48.4Attack44.4
78.6Defence62.2
63.5Form46.7
63.9Power52.8
1.23xG0.64
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