GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/24/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCDWWDL

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CDS Tampico MaderoLLWWD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCCDS Tampico Madero
48.4Attack33.3
78.6Defence88.9
63.5Form44.4
63.9Power54.9
1.38xG0.65
View match centre →