GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/4/2024, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCWWDDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
CDS Tampico MaderoWWDDD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCCDS Tampico Madero
48.4Attack33.3
78.6Defence88.9
63.5Form44.4
63.9Power54.9
1.38xG0.65
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