GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 5/19/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Cancún are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 50.8-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

67.4%

Model confidence

67.4%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCDWWWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CancúnDLLDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCCancún
48.4Attack16.7
78.6Defence0.0
63.5Form0.0
63.9Power13.2
2.01xG0.58
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