GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 12/1/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cancún are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 50.8-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

67.4%

Model confidence

67.4%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCWWWLW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CancúnWLWLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCCancún
48.4Attack16.7
78.6Defence0.0
63.5Form0.0
63.9Power13.2
2.01xG0.58
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