GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/27/2023, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Cancún are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 50.8-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

67.4%

Model confidence

67.4%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCWDWLL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
CancúnWWLWW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCCancún
48.4Attack16.7
78.6Defence0.0
63.5Form0.0
63.9Power13.2
2.01xG0.58
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