GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while CA La Paz are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCLWLWD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CA La PazDLDWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCCA La Paz
48.4Attack75.0
78.6Defence58.3
63.5Form50.0
63.9Power57.9
1.48xG0.87
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