GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/16/2023, 11:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while CA La Paz are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCDDWWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CA La PazWDWWW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atlante FCCA La Paz
48.4Attack75.0
78.6Defence58.3
63.5Form50.0
63.9Power57.9
1.48xG0.87
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