GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 10/24/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Atlante FC 0-1 Atletico San Luis

Original prediction

Atlante FC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1942.3%37.2%-5.0 pts
Draw3.3727.5%29.3%1.8 pts
Away3.0730.2%33.5%3.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–09%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCWLLWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico San LuisWDLWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Atlante FCAtletico San Luis
35.9Attack46.2
51.3Defence43.6
35.9Form41.0
43.5Power45.7
1.30xG1.25
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