GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

56.2%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCDLLDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Alebrijes de OaxacaDDWDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCAlebrijes de Oaxaca
48.4Attack25.0
78.6Defence58.3
63.5Form50.0
63.9Power46.7
1.52xG0.58
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