GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/31/2024, 11:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atlante FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

56.2%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlante FCLDWLD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Alebrijes de OaxacaDLLLL

GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Atlante FCAlebrijes de Oaxaca
48.4Attack25.0
78.6Defence58.3
63.5Form50.0
63.9Power46.7
1.52xG0.58
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