Atlantavs
San Martin Tucuman
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlanta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atlanta 0-0 San Martin Tucuman, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlanta 1-0 San Martin Tucuman
Original prediction
Atlanta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.8% | 41.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.86 | 32.0% | 32.9% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.63 | 25.2% | 25.1% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Projected Score
Atlanta 0–0 San Martin Tucuman
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Atlanta
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Atlanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AtlantaWWDWW
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
San Martin TucumanWDLWL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AtlantaSan Martin Tucuman
39.6Attack36.5
68.8Defence66.7
57.3Form44.8
57.2Power51.0
0.88xG0.62