Atlantavs
San Martin S.J.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 8/30/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atlanta 0-0 San Martin S.J., with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlanta 0-1 San Martin S.J.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 39.4% | 38.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.81 | 32.8% | 32.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 27.8% | 28.5% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Projected Score
Atlanta 0–0 San Martin S.J.
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AtlantaLWLWL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San Martin S.J.WWDDD
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
AtlantaSan Martin S.J.
39.7Attack36.0
65.4Defence68.0
53.8Form46.7
54.8Power52.5
0.84xG0.69