AtlantavsFerro Carril Oeste

Atlanta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ferro Carril Oeste are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 59.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.1% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.