AtlantavsDeportivo Maipu

Atlanta are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Deportivo Maipu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlanta hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.