Atlantavs
Club Atlético Güemes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlanta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atlanta 1-0 Club Atlético Güemes, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlanta 2-0 Club Atlético Güemes
Original prediction
Atlanta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.9% | 62.1% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.9% | 24.8% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 5.31 | 17.2% | 13.0% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Projected Score
Atlanta 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Atlanta
Probability
62.1%
Model confidence
62.1%
Atlanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AtlantaWLLWL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Club Atlético GüemesLDDDD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
AtlantaClub Atlético Güemes
38.1Attack27.4
66.7Defence44.0
53.6Form27.4
54.7Power36.2
1.47xG0.48