Atlantavs
Agropecuario
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/27/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlanta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atlanta 0-0 Agropecuario, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlanta 1-0 Agropecuario
Original prediction
Atlanta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.5% | 47.7% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.3% | 32.0% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.33 | 21.1% | 20.3% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Projected Score
Atlanta 0–0 Agropecuario
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Atlanta
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Atlanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AtlantaDWWLL
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
AgropecuarioWLWDL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AtlantaAgropecuario
37.8Attack28.9
68.9Defence62.2
54.4Form40.0
55.6Power45.7
0.96xG0.48