Atlanta United IIvs
Connecticut FC
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 10/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlanta United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlanta United II 0-1 Connecticut FC
Original prediction
Atlanta United II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 15:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.2% | 52.0% | 10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.9% | 18.6% | -6.3 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 33.8% | 29.4% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
Atlanta United II
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Atlanta United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60