Atlanta United IIvs
Connecticut FC
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlanta United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlanta United II 4-1 Connecticut FC
Original prediction
Atlanta United II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.5% | 52.0% | 8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.6% | 19.1% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.0% | 28.9% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Atlanta United II
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Atlanta United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00